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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Politics Vol. $285,658 50 traders

Jean-Luc Mélenchon95%
Marine Le Pen87%
Nathalie Arthaud87%
Fabien Roussel82%
$285,658 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

46
Chance
Marine Le Pen
87% ▲ 2
Jordan Bardella
14% ▼ 1
Éric Zemmour
62% ▲ 2
Édouard Philippe
81%
David Lisnard
56% ▲ 1
Xavier Bertrand
13%
Laurent Wauquiez
4% ▲ 1
François Ruffin
35% ▲ 2
Gabriel Attal
31% ▼ 2
Bruno Retailleau
75%
François Hollande
31%
Raphaël Glucksmann
51% ▼ 5
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
95%
Marine Tondelier
30%
Fabien Roussel
82%
Olivier Faure
24% ▲ 16
Dominique de Villepin
30%
Ségolène Royal
7%
François Asselineau
13%
Clémentine Autain
3%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
55%
Michel Barnier
2%
Valérie Pécresse
5%
François Bayrou
6%
Élisabeth Borne
2%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
3%
Jean Castex
4%
Gérald Darmanin
9% ▲ 2
Carole Delga
3%
Bernard Cazeneuve
13%
Manuel Bompard
8%
Mathilde Panot
3%
Sarah Knafo
37% ▲ 4
Sébastien Lecornu
9%
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
7% ▲ 1
Nathalie Arthaud
87% ▼ 3
Delphine Batho
3%
Jérôme Guedj
11% ▼ 1
Karim Bouamrane
8% ▲ 2
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
7%
Manuel Valls
6% ▲ 1
Teddy Riner
3%
Matthieu Pigasse
10%
Juan Branco
12% ▼ 1
Philippe de Villiers
8%
Bally Bagayoko
4%

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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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