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French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Elections Vol. $59,929 50 traders

Marine Le Pen100%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon100%
Gabriel Attal100%
Raphaël Glucksmann76%
$59,929 Vol. Elections

Outcomes

21
Chance
Éric Zemmour
63% ▲ 3
Jordan Bardella
8% ▼ 1
Michel Barnier
14% ▲ 1
Valérie Pécresse
9% ▲ 1
Gabriel Attal Resolved
100% ▲ 9
Élisabeth Borne
14%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
1% ▼ 6
Jean Castex
8%
Gérald Darmanin
11% ▼ 6
Sébastien Lecornu
17% ▼ 2
François Bayrou
11% ▲ 1
Bernard Cazeneuve
56% ▼ 2
Carole Delga
13% ▼ 1
Olivier Faure
38% ▲ 17
François Hollande
55% ▼ 6
Raphaël Glucksmann
76% ▲ 1
Manuel Bompard
7% ▼ 2
Jean-Luc Mélenchon Resolved
100% ▲ 3
Mathilde Panot
5% ▲ 1
Dominique de Villepin
53% ▲ 6
Marine Le Pen Resolved
100% ▲ 2

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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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