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Likud Party Primary Winner

Likud Vol. $56,304 50 traders

Amir Ohana76%
Person B50%
Person C50%
Person D50%
$56,304 Vol. Likud

Outcomes

43
Chance
Amir Ohana
76% ▲ 10
Nir Barkat
<1%
Tally Gotliv
7% ▼ 3
Israel Katz
<1%
Yariv Levin
7% ▼ 1
Moshe Saada
2%
Eli Cohen
5%
David Amsalem
<1%
Miki Zohar
<1%
Boaz Bismuth
1%
Almog Cohen
<1%
Amichai Chikli
<1%
David Bitan
<1% ▼ 1
Shlomo Karhi
<1%
Miri Regev
<1%
Yoav Kisch
<1%
No Primary by Knesset Election
4% ▲ 2
Person B
50%
Person C
50%
Person D
50%
Person E
50%
Person F
50%
Person G
50%
Person H
50%
Person I
50%
Person J
50%
Person K
50%
Person L
50%
Person M
50%
Person N
50%
Person O
50%
Person P
50%
Person Q
50%
Person R
50%
Person S
50%
Person T
50%
Person U
50%
Person V
50%
Person W
50%
Person X
50%
Person Y
50%
Person Z
50%
Other
50%

Recent trades

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Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.

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