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Who will be arrested before 2027?

James Comey Vol. $374,599 50 traders

John Brennan28%
Mahmoud Khalil28%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero23%
Letitia James14%
$374,599 Vol. James Comey

Outcomes

24
Chance
James Comey
6%
Anthony Fauci
11% ▼ 2
John Brennan
28%
Mahmoud Khalil
28% ▲ 3
James Clapper
13% ▼ 1
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
23%
Adam Schiff
3%
Letitia James
14% ▲ 1
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
2% ▼ 1
Loretta Lynch
10%
Susan Rice
9% ▲ 1
Candace Owens
7% ▲ 2
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
6% ▲ 1
John Kerry
3%
Barack Obama
1%
Pam Bondi
4%
Tom Homan
12% ▲ 1
Kash Patel
3%
Brandon Johnson
12%
Lisa Cook
11% ▲ 2
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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